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Price Cap at £1,690 – Welcome relief, and more competitive tariffs?

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Energy Market Strategy and Commercial
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Energy Market Debt

Pre-payment debt has increased 100% to £1bn since Q4-21

Over the past two years we’ve seen pre-payment meter (PPM) debts continuing to rise, and as of Q3-2023 they now stand at £1bn The amount of customers using their PPM to repay a debt has risen by 40% (up 220k to 750k), and the average debt balances have also risen by 40% (up £400 to £1,300) - resulting in a 100% (up £500m to £1bn) increase in total pre-payment meter debt.

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Transformation

Cost-value connection: Upstream efficiencies for long-term savings

Cost cutting is often the first change identified in tough conditions. Support functions are hit hard, damaging customer retention and satisfaction in the long term. Instead, a combined focus on cost and value is key for success.

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Financial Services Complaints

Turning the tide – Complaints lessons for Financial Services

Complaints are on the rise in Financial Services. The FCA’s latest data (Oct-23) reports a 5% increase in volume between H2-22 and H1-23, and with regulatory pressure heightened across the industry – how can companies transform their approach to prevention and resolution?

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Financial Services Debt

Early-life collections – How to optimise your approach

As the demand for debt advice continues to break records (PayPlan, 2024), the pressure is mounting on Financial Services organisations to provide holistic, proactive support for those in difficulty.

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Debt

Using machine learning to predict and prevent customer delinquency

During a recent engagement with a large Energy retailer, we helped their Debt team to apply machine learning analysis within the customer base, identifying trends to predict (and later prevent) delinquency. With a new insight into which customers may face financial difficulty, the supplier was able to implement pre-emptive support, through improved segmentation and tailored customer journeys.

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Complaints

An update on Energy Complaints Performance

Complaints challenges are set to continue in Q1. It’s a trend we’ve seen in recent years, that customers are more likely to complain during a period of high usage. However, based on current market conditions, this year’s uplift could be more significant than usual.

Energy Market Strategy and Commercial

Could we see a Price Cap of £1,650 from April?

Based on the observation window so far, and a modelled view of the remaining window, we could see a Q2-24 Price Cap of ~£1,650 but a +/- £100 uncertainty. This gives a latest range of £1,550 - £1,760. By mid-January, we expect price uncertainty to be +/- £30 as the window closes out.

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Energy Market Debt

Total Ofgem reported debt is now at ~£3bn for Q3-2023

Total Ofgem reported debt is now at ~£3bn for Q3-2023, 50% (~£1bn) higher than Q3-2022. The primary driver is an £800m increase from accounts without No Arrangement in place to repay their debt.

Operations and Service Recovery

How to build Tiger Teams for faster problem solving

The 'Tiger Team' - what is it? And when is it valuable? By bringing cross-functional experts together, this approach is ideal for tackling critical challenges at pace - such as a sudden spike in complaints volumes, and all the servicing challenges that come with it.

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Customer Service Operational Excellence

Consumer Standards – How can suppliers rebuild trust?

Following the publication of Ofgem's Consumer Standards decision, we look at the practical steps for implementation, focussing specifically on rebuilding trust with the customer, through the development of specific advisor skills, and tailored customer treatments.

Customer Service Debt People and Culture

Difficult Conversations – Equipping collections agents for optimal support

With Christmas on the horizon, consumer spending is set to face its usual seasonal increase, adding extra pressure to critical areas like credit card payments and energy bills. Inevitably, some consumers will find themselves in financial difficulty over the coming months, leading to more collections conversations with their service provider.

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Energy Market Debt

Most customers worse off due to Jan 2024 Energy Price Cap

OFGEM have released their updated Energy Price Cap figures for Q1-24, and our modelling predicts this will make most customers worse off compared to Q1-23.

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Kelly Payne, Director at BFY Group. Jonathan Paton, Senior Manager at BFY Group. Jon Vincent, Senior Manager at BFY Group.

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